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Issue DateTitleSubjectsCAPTION
Sep 11 2026
Fuel Efficiency Reversal Afoot?
U.S. VEHICLE FLEET TRENDS, 2026
Supply/Demand



Growth in the vehicle fleet average miles per gallon has been far more modest than regulators had planned. Lundberg projects fleet efficiency will increase just 1.2% this year due in part to the continued popularity of SUVs/trucks and a sharp reduction in electric vehicle sales.
Sep 02 2026
Motiva's Port Arthur Refinery
SAUDI CROWN JEWEL
Company Profile

Refining

Saudi-owned Motiva has added nearly 50,000 b/d to its refining capacity since 2020. Marketing under both the Shell and 76 gasoline brands, Motiva has also seen its U.S. gasoline market share recover to 4.8%.
Aug 27 2026
Arizona, Nevada, Seek Barrels
WEST COAST SUPPLY NETWORKS
Refining/Supply/Demand

Regulations

Draconian California regulations have resulted in a catastrophic 32% decline in California refining capacity, including the loss of two plants since December. This is terrible news for motorists not just in California but also those in Arizona and Nevada which depend on California for supply. On August 11, Phillips 66, HF Sinclair, and Kinder Morgan hatched an ambitious plan to bring more product West. The proposed Western Gateway Pipeline would bring 230,000 b/d to fill part of the gap.
Aug 12 2026
Still in Limbo
CITGO MARKETING METRIC
Company Profile



Citgo remains in limbo despite being auctioned off for a song in 2024. It is still not known who will end up owning Citgo. Meanwhile, its refining business has been performing spectacularly. Citgo added 80,000 b/d to its refining capacity in recent years. The company reported 99% refinery utilization in Q1 2026 and handsome profits.
Jul 28 2026
Desert Bloom
PHOENIX MARKET PROFILE
Market Profile



Phoenix, long time starlet in the regional realm of mega-market Los Angeles, may finally win fuel supply independence from California within three years. Herein we reveal who, and what, makes this growing, high-throughput gasoline market tick.
Jul 23 2026
Merchant Status Evolving
VALERO MARKETING METRICS
Company Profile

Station Population

Valero permanently shut its Benicia California refinery in February, ending that plant's 57-year run of providing fuels to California motorists. Even with that huge loss, the nation's second largest refiner still commands 2.086-million barrels per day capacity in the U.S. Valero lost more branded outlets in 2025 according to our estimates, continuing its shift toward merchant status.
Jun 16 2026
Store Count Contraction
C-STORE INDUSTRY METRICS 2025
Station Population

NACS

The U.S. convenience store industry had record in-store sales in 2025 despite a reduction in outlet count according to data released by The Association for Convenience and Fuel Retailing (NACS). According to NACS, there are currently 151,975 stores nationally. The Letter projects a decline this year.
Jun 11 2026
Gasoline Market Share Update
MARATHON STILL NUMBER 1
Market Share



The top U.S. gasoline market share and greatest refining capacity is held by downstreamer Marathon, with its 92% of crude slate North American feedstock and burgeoning product export sales. Meanwhile, its California operations are under regulatory threat. Marathon's vitals are tracked herein.
May 13 2026
Dire Straits
2026 GASOLINE PRICE RALLY
Retail Prices



This year's extreme Spring pump price run-up of 152.8 cents gal. is the child of the Middle East oil transit stoppage and U.S. gasoline price seasonality. The nightmare scenario's chief elements are identified herein.
May 07 2026
Growing The Brand
CHEVRON MARKETING METRICS
Company Profile



Chevron has moved its corporate headquarters to Houston after residing in California more than 100 years. The supermajor has also been busy adding branded units in recent years and is on pace to get back above 9,000 stations by 2028.
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